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Reflections of a Long, Long, Long Tail

by Joe McKendrick

A song I heard frequently on the radio over the years — but was clueless about the artists — is “Reflections of My Life,” by a group called The Marmalade.

It turns out the song was big in 1970, after which the group — originally from Scotland — faded from the limelight. (A reconstituted band with one of the original members still tours.)

On YouTube, an incredible live 1970 performance of “Reflections” by the band is available, and at the time of this post, was viewed about 157,000 times. Accounting for multiple viewings, it’s likely that at least 100,000 people across the globe now have seen the performance, which up until a year ago was lost to the ages.

It’s now well established that Web 2.0 technologies now provide long tail of opportunity that can stretch into months and even years past the point a product or service was launched.

But are we seeing the long tail extending across multiple decades as well? It’s entirely possible that YouTube videos, for example, are ginning up new interest in long-lost bands and performances (as well as well-known ones, such as the Rolling Stones, U2, and Led Zeppelin), and perhaps increasing current airplay, CD sales/downloads, and thus, re-energizing revenue streams (and royalties) that went dry 30-plus years ago.

They say that the Internet has sped things up, to the point where opportunities and income can be gained or lost in a matter of seconds. But perhaps the extreme opposite is true as well.

What would you call a long tail that thins out into a long, long, tiny thread, then suddenly expands again? Is Web 2.0 delivering the ultimate time-shifted economy?

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1 Comment »

Rob PatersonDecember 8th, 2007 at 11:31 am

Yes!!!

Does not the social web transcend time and space? I am thinking that the Social web maybe Einsteins theory made real? In the real world - time and space are fixed. But we know that cosmically they are variables. But NOW a 30 year old concert is back and back forever. There is room in terms of Space for it not only to exist but to be found and then shared.

As most of the economics of 1.0 are based on the idea that time and space are fixed - you can only watch Masterpiece Theatre on Sunday nights on say WGBH - or you can only buy my book from Barnes and Noble when it is open and if there is shelf space - this means that 2.0 will destroy ANY BUSINESS MODEL THAT DEPENDS ON VALUE CREATED BY A FIXED TIME & SPACE.

So if time and space are now variables, where is the new value? This is surely the question of our time. My friends in public TV and radio are sweating it now.

I think we can see some hints. David Weinberger is off for a European tour to talk about his book - My bet, is that people will pay a lot of the experience of hearing him in person - pay him more that he can get by selling the book. Now the book becomes a marketing tool and the in person becomes the scarce value. Isn’t this the Rolling Stones model? The big money is in the experience that you can only get by going to a concert.

The shared human experience is what is in short supply.

Good content is always hard to create - but it has been valued more because of the constraints of Time and Space. The value has been in the distribution channel - look at food for instance. Farmers are going broke all over but the food chains are booming.

So my bet is that part of the new value is in connecting the producer and the consumer in a new more human way where the ultimate product is a better experience for both

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