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Bears and Bulls Ride Social Media into 2009

by Bill Ives

 For my first post in 2009 I will share Peter Kim’s Social Media Predictions 2009. Now Peter did this two weeks ago and I am sure it has been commented on. I learned about it through Susan Scrupski who posted in on Knowledge Plaza. I will not repeat the details.

However, I am struck by the mix of bears and bulls on the social media market and presence for 2009.  There are more bears than bulls. That might not be surprising in a down market. However. I am hearing from a lot of enterprise 2.0 vendors that sales are up. However, this is a small, and likely biased sample.

There seems to be only one real bull – “Dwindling budgets suddenly make low-cost social media look like the pretty girl at the ball.” – Ann Handley – who was consistent with what I am hearing although she used a different metaphor.

In addition, there were a number of people who were somewhat positive but said that more accountability and ROI are needed. I would certainly agree with them. I also side with Ann against the bears. 

Last year at the time I went out on a limb and said I would lose weight. I was right but I did not like that fact that this applied not only to my body but my retirement funds. I hope I am right again for 2009 on social media. I think they will become common place over time. It is a matter of when not whether in my mind. 

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2 Comments »

RogerJanuary 2nd, 2009 at 1:54 pm

Very insightful. I am very bullish on social media, particularly in this down economy.

Social media is maturing to the point when marketers can measure ROI, and metrics are improving such that ROI can be calculated with greater precision. This issue was a significant hindrance to adoption, but when marketers see the value they will pull money from big ticket campaigns and redirect them to social media. It’s all about bang for the buck. Ad budgets that don’t show a return will be cut, but advertisers will still have budgets — a bigger piece of that pie will now be going to social media.

Bill IvesJanuary 2nd, 2009 at 3:25 pm

Roger

Thanks for your comment and I certainly agree with you. I have seen at least one study of marketing decision makers that said spending on marketing through social media will be up in 2009. I continue to see interest in market facing blogs from my clients. At the same vendors who provide social media for use inside the enterprise reports strong growth in my informal sampling. Bill

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